Authorities in Texas are facing increasing scrutiny regarding their preparedness for a devastating flash flood that struck the Guadalupe River area during the July Fourth weekend. The flood resulted in over 100 fatalities, including the tragic loss of 27 children and counselors at Camp Mystic, an all-girls Christian camp. As of now, more than 160 individuals remain unaccounted for, prompting critical questions about the adequacy of warnings and evacuation measures.
In the aftermath of the disaster, local, state, and federal officials have deflected inquiries about their response to the flood. A timeline compiled by the Associated Press highlights key events leading up to the flood, revealing a series of actions taken by emergency management officials beginning on July 2, 2023, the same day that an emergency plan for the camp was approved.
Timeline of Events Leading to the Flood
On July 2, the Texas Division of Emergency Management activated state emergency resources in anticipation of potential flooding across parts of West and Central Texas. That day, inspectors approved Camp Mystic’s emergency plan, indicating awareness of possible threats.
By the morning of July 3, the situation began to escalate. At 10:00 a.m., Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick informed local officials that weather updates would be discussed in daily calls. He emphasized that it was up to local authorities to decide on evacuations. Later that day, the National Weather Service issued a flood watch for Kerr County, warning of potential rainfall amounts of one to three inches, with isolated regions possibly receiving up to seven inches.
The flood crisis peaked on July 4. At 1:14 a.m., the National Weather Service issued a flash flood warning for central Kerr County, categorizing the threat as life-threatening. As the early hours progressed, floodwaters began to inundate Camp Mystic, prompting frantic evacuations. Reports from individuals at the camp describe chaotic scenes, with campers and staff scrambling for safety.
By 3:35 a.m., the National Weather Service extended its flash flood warning, and gauges indicated that the Guadalupe River reached nearly 16 feet, a level associated with minor flooding. The river’s rapid rise continued, reaching a peak of 34.29 feet later that morning.
Reactions and Aftermath
As the floodwaters receded, local officials began assessing the situation. At 11:30 a.m., parents of campers received alarming emails indicating catastrophic flooding at Camp Mystic, with many families anxiously awaiting news about their loved ones. During a press conference, Kerr County Judge Rob Kelly acknowledged the absence of a reliable warning system, stating, “We do not have a warning system.” When pressed about the lack of evacuations, he noted, “We had no reason to believe that this was going to be any, anything like what’s happened here.”
As the day unfolded, the death toll rose. By 3:30 p.m., Lt. Gov. Patrick announced that six to ten bodies had been recovered, with Sheriff Larry Leitha estimating at least 13 fatalities confirmed. Governor Greg Abbott declared a disaster later that evening, as search and rescue operations continued.
The events surrounding the July Fourth flood have triggered significant concern regarding the preparedness and response capabilities of local and state officials. As investigations continue, many are calling for a thorough review of emergency management protocols to prevent future tragedies.




